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Red173
172029.6
152812.4
4749.3
Blue136
102417.2
33059.9
7121.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54940150200250300350173136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47
Unranked
49.35.7
32.538.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
330
Unranked
59.92.4
62.664.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1720
Unranked
29.65.7
18.924.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
71
Unranked
21.62.4
15.117.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1528
Unranked
12.45.7
7.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1024
Unranked
17.22.4
11.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End