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Red14
157714.6
1646-3.2
11624.6
Blue26
5738.6
2176.2
101818.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414801001502002503003504001426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
Unranked
24.61.4
26.825.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1018
Unranked
18.11.0
20.619.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1577
Unranked
14.61.4
15.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
573
Unranked
8.61.0
11.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
Unranked
-3.21.4
-0.4-1.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
217
Unranked
6.21.0
14.913.8
Auto
Teleop
End