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Red59
11120.8
91014.7
12131.8
Blue0
9320.9
10721.5
9809.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73640100150200250300350590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
31.80.7
34.133.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
107
Unranked
21.53.2
25.221.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
111
Unranked
20.80.7
22.521.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
93
Unranked
20.93.2
26.923.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
910
Unranked
14.70.7
15.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
980
Unranked
9.63.2
12.89.6
Auto
Teleop
End