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Red76
4830.7
6823.3
172029.6
Blue67
17710.9
190232.8
11624.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91680501502002503003507667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
Unranked
30.70.6
31.330.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1902
Unranked
32.80.2
33.733.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1720
Unranked
29.60.6
30.229.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
116
Unranked
24.60.2
25.124.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
68
Unranked
23.30.6
26.726.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
177
Unranked
10.90.2
11.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End