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Red36
11827.6
447-2.9
70313.6
Blue5
165.9
82926.4
21713.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38420100150200365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
27.60.1
27.727.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
829
Unranked
26.41.8
28.226.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
703
Unranked
13.60.1
13.713.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
16
Unranked
5.91.8
7.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
447
Unranked
-2.90.1
-2.8-2.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
2171
Unranked
3.41.8
5.23.4
Auto
Teleop
End