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Red68
220912.1
22313.9
194218.0
Blue4
194717.7
22302.6
221015.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3133020406080100684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#11
18.00.8
16.917.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
17.70.6
16.816.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
12.10.7
11.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2210
#17
15.20.6
14.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2231
#27
3.90.6
3.03.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2230
#33
2.60.5
1.81.3
Auto
Teleop
End