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Red20
22313.9
19497.5
165716.6
Blue28
22121.2
15777.9
19512.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2980204060801001202028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#12
16.60.5
15.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
1577
#16
7.91.5
4.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
7.50.5
4.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1951
#19
2.91.5
4.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2231
#27
3.90.5
6.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2212
#24
1.21.5
1.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End