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Red64
157423.9
194717.7
221112.1
Blue2
19512.9
19373.2
221015.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467100150642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.9
17.319.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
2210
#17
15.20.8
2.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.71.9
12.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
1937
#32
3.20.8
3.02.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
12.11.9
11.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
1951
#19
2.90.8
5.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End