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Red64
221112.1
19506.1
194218.0
Blue2
22302.6
15777.9
194717.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31200406080100642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#11
18.02.9
14.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
17.71.6
14.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
12.12.9
13.416.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1577
#16
7.91.6
4.12.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1950
#29
6.12.9
1.24.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2230
#33
2.61.6
2.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End