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Red31
157423.9
22175.3
22085.5
Blue8
221112.1
165716.6
19506.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402606080100120318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.6
21.520.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1657
#12
16.61.4
13.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2208
#13
5.50.5
8.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
12.11.4
13.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5.30.5
8.58.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1950
#29
6.11.5
1.0-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End