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Red0
19512.9
15732.8
22136.0
Blue82
221015.2
169012.3
19497.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11180406080100082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2213
#30
6.00.8
2.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
2210
#17
15.25.0
6.211.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1951
#19
2.90.8
4.63.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
12.34.7
8.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1573
#31
2.80.8
4.94.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
7.54.7
2.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End