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Red32
165716.6
22313.9
22085.5
Blue0
19512.9
15732.8
22136.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18-2406080100120320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#12
16.61.4
8.29.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
2213
#30
6.00.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2208
#13
5.51.4
3.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1951
#19
2.90.1
0.0-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2231
#27
3.91.4
3.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1573
#31
2.80.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End