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Red16
199710.9
93529.6
177531.5
Blue4
2004-2.8
180614.1
21659.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851350150200250300350164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.3
32.831.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
14.10.4
14.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
935
#1
29.61.2
30.829.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.4
9.20.5
9.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1997
#17
10.91.6
12.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
2004
#20
-2.80.4
-2.4-2.8
Auto
Teleop
End