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Red7
18470.8
12091.9
19816.9
Blue0
199710.9
1782-0.3
47618.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions-1142040608010070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1981
#21
6.90.5
-0.50.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
476
#7
18.71.0
8.27.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1209
#16
1.90.5
0.61.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
1997
#17
10.91.0
0.7-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1847
#23
0.80.5
0.91.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1782
#39
-0.31.0
3.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End