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Red2
18104.5
20306.4
12091.9
Blue0
16533.1
1804-1.8
1994-0.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955010015020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2030
#19
6.40.5
-0.0-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1653
#38
3.10.5
4.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1810
#28
4.50.5
7.57.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1994
#44
-0.50.5
-0.2-0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1209
#16
1.90.5
1.10.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1804
#42
-1.80.5
1.40.9
Auto
Teleop
End