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Red19
20445.4
47618.7
18022.5
Blue4
9093.3
19053.9
199710.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1670406080100194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
476
#7
18.70.4
8.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1997
#17
10.90.3
-0.3-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5.40.4
3.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1905
#30
3.90.3
2.11.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1802
#18
2.50.4
2.93.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
909
#35
3.30.3
6.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End