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Red0
1804-1.8
19816.9
1349-1.2
Blue8
18104.5
2109-1.7
12091.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2122040608010008

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1981
#21
6.90.3
1.71.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1810
#28
4.50.2
7.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1349
#40
-1.20.3
0.60.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1209
#16
1.90.2
2.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1804
#42
-1.80.3
1.31.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2109
#27
-1.70.2
1.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End