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Red44
18257.5
199710.9
93529.6
Blue23
18470.8
19846.3
1611.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212504060804423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#1
29.61.9
18.720.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
16
#25
11.60.1
14.314.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1997
#17
10.91.9
-0.61.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
6.30.1
5.04.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
7.51.9
3.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1847
#23
0.80.1
5.25.1
Auto
Teleop
End