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Red68
177531.5
199710.9
93529.6
Blue17
18022.5
47618.7
87612.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions932802003004006817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.4
35.835.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
476
#7
18.70.4
19.719.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
935
#1
29.60.4
33.633.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
876
#5
12.30.4
13.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1997
#17
10.90.4
15.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
1802
#18
2.50.4
3.63.1
Auto
Teleop
End