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Red22
93529.6
177531.5
199710.9
Blue6
47618.7
87612.3
18022.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9227050150200250300350400226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.4
35.434.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
476
#7
18.70.6
19.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
935
#1
29.61.3
33.232.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
876
#5
12.30.5
12.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1997
#17
10.91.6
15.513.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
1802
#18
2.50.7
3.12.5
Auto
Teleop
End