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Red30
18582.5
218217.1
3481.2
Blue8
23114.7
21831.0
18180.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210406080100308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.11.3
2.63.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
231
#9
14.71.0
15.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1858
#21
2.51.3
3.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2183
#37
1.01.0
2.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
348
#32
1.21.3
8.29.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1818
#31
0.51.0
1.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End