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Red15
11812.2
21733.6
18582.5
Blue2
1550-0.1
59010.6
21831.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20100406080100152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
12.20.2
12.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
590
#17
10.60.6
10.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2173
#16
3.60.2
2.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2183
#37
1.00.7
1.61.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1858
#21
2.50.2
3.02.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1550
#36
-0.10.7
-0.4-1.0
Auto
Teleop
End