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Red19
59010.6
1550-0.1
20651.5
Blue8
1920-0.5
20601.5
4628.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions810020304050198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
590
#17
10.60.5
9.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
462
#27
8.10.0
7.17.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2065
#20
1.50.6
0.91.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2060
#18
1.50.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1550
#36
-0.10.6
-0.7-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
-0.50.0
-0.3-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End