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Red54
21612.1
51420.8
49617.7
Blue40
3539.6
146815.9
287.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462701001502005440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
514
#16
20.80.3
22.222.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
15.90.2
14.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
496
#5
17.70.2
18.819.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
353
#6
9.60.2
8.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2161
#12
2.10.2
3.23.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
28
#36
7.10.2
5.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End