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Red2
15467.6
54515.3
3539.6
Blue23
35816.7
8703.0
16075.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22240406080100223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
545
#19
15.31.7
6.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
358
#34
16.70.0
22.022.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
353
#6
9.61.7
9.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1607
#23
5.40.0
-1.6-1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1546
#13
7.61.7
6.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
870
#11
3.00.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End