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Red16
17315.7
197322.4
1568-2.6
Blue49
192210.3
1553.2
140326.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12260204060801001649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1973
#10
22.40.2
5.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
1403
#12
26.81.9
17.719.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
#25
15.70.1
10.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
10.31.9
2.44.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1568
#24
-2.60.2
-1.6-1.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
155
#46
3.22.1
3.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End