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Red4
21102.4
17315.7
17619.1
Blue10
19650.4
12628.4
17681.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32410100150200250410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#25
15.71.5
21.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
126
#3
28.41.5
31.029.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1761
#27
9.12.5
11.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1768
#15
1.92.5
5.32.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2110
#36
2.42.5
0.7-1.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1965
#17
0.42.5
4.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End