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Red6
12628.4
197517.1
175710.9
Blue64
21627.8
4675.6
140326.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7131050100150200250664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#3
28.43.0
30.026.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1403
#12
26.81.4
26.928.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1975
#43
17.13.0
21.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
2162
#29
7.82.2
5.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1757
#28
10.94.3
14.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
467
#19
5.61.4
3.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End