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Red45
17793.8
20097.9
3486.2
Blue34
4675.6
21627.8
168610.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10260204060801004534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2009
#18
7.92.4
5.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1686
#11
10.60.7
10.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
348
#32
6.21.7
4.56.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2162
#29
7.80.7
7.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1779
#47
3.82.2
1.63.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
467
#19
5.60.5
5.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End