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Red64
162641.2
12121.3
1568-2.6
Blue0
192210.3
8812.0
204320.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75410100150200250640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.1
44.744.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.7
2043
#13
20.51.1
21.620.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
121
#7
21.30.2
25.425.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
88
#8
12.00.8
12.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1568
#24
-2.60.2
1.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
10.30.8
11.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End