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Red52
33911.7
7092.6
223412.4
Blue0
21995.6
16563.9
6863.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3401020304050520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2234
#17
12.419.3
24.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
2199
#11
5.65.2
5.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
339
#25
11.73.8
2.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1656
#43
3.90.3
0.3-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
709
#23
2.64.1
0.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
686
#30
3.40.3
2.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End