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Qual 192007 Chesapeake Regional
Red56
3415.2
88817.5
18940.9
Blue4
1446-2.4
18865.7
6142.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181250100150200250300564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#34
17.52.8
15.0→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.8
1886
#42
5.70.7
7.1→6.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
341
#7
5.22.8
2.3→5.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.9
614
#16
2.40.7
4.8→4.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1894
#5
0.93.2
-0.2→3.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
1446
#48
-2.40.7
0.5→-0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—