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Red8
61215.1
2120-1.1
13706.8
Blue4
15997.7
6111.9
1849-1.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2210040608010012014016084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#22
15.10.8
14.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1599
#40
7.70.5
7.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1370
#14
6.81.0
4.63.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
611
#54
1.90.5
2.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2120
#52
-1.11.0
1.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1849
#58
-1.90.6
1.00.3
Auto
Teleop
End