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Red23
3415.2
18930.3
11846.5
Blue0
191521.5
224-0.8
88817.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9250406080100120230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1184
#15
6.50.8
6.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.0
1915
#35
21.51.9
3.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
#7
5.20.8
5.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
888
#34
17.51.5
17.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1893
#47
0.31.0
-0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
224
#56
-0.81.5
1.0-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End