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Red4
11680.3
18930.3
2033.3
Blue8
18940.9
11846.5
2040.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1122040608048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#27
3.30.1
2.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1184
#15
6.50.2
6.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1893
#47
0.30.1
0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
0.90.2
0.0-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1168
#46
0.30.1
0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
204
#32
0.40.2
3.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End