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Red2
15997.7
33911.7
17191.1
Blue6
7092.6
2040.4
21995.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22140608010012026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#25
11.71.2
8.67.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
2199
#11
5.60.2
-0.8-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1599
#40
7.71.1
5.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
709
#23
2.60.2
3.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1719
#31
1.11.5
5.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
204
#32
0.40.2
1.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End