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Qual 632007 Chesapeake Regional
Red4
224-0.8
223412.4
869-3.8
Blue5
1933-3.3
16563.9
1225.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965010015020045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2234
#17
12.40.4
14.0→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.0
122
#37
5.40.1
5.5→5.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
224
#56
-0.80.2
-0.6→-0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.8
1656
#43
3.90.1
4.0→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
869
#55
-3.80.3
-4.7→-4.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
1933
#20
-3.30.1
-3.2→-3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—