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Qual 702007 Chesapeake Regional
Red32
191521.5
11680.3
61215.1
Blue34
13706.8
33911.7
197521.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364401001502002503003234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1915
#35
21.50.4
22.0→21.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
1975
#4
21.00.7
24.0→23.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
612
#22
15.10.2
14.3→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.4
339
#25
11.70.4
11.1→10.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1168
#46
0.30.4
0.7→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.5
1370
#14
6.80.7
7.5→6.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—