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Red128
38313.6
224615.3
3318.6
Blue42
81822.2
2453.2
218813.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4230010015020012842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#12
18.64.4
24.128.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
818
#38
22.20.7
26.927.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.37.3
7.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
13.90.9
-1.2-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
383
#10
13.64.9
8.613.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
245
#52
3.20.6
5.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End