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Red36
21976.6
2453.2
46940.1
Blue49
14478.9
8588.1
9314.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554001001502002503649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#19
40.10.9
40.039.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.5
93
#27
14.70.5
13.513.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2197
#33
6.61.4
6.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1447
#14
8.90.6
16.617.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
245
#52
3.21.0
6.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
858
#43
8.10.4
11.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End