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Red64
11120.2
49421.4
178310.5
Blue256
90422.2
218813.9
22631.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions652605010015020025064256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#21
21.40.2
24.424.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
226
#16
31.011.3
23.234.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
111
#35
20.20.2
18.819.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
904
#36
22.211.3
7.819.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1783
#32
10.50.3
16.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
13.918.8
-0.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End