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Red8
16460.7
17233.6
93111.2
Blue2
939-2.5
17473.7
10981.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18540608010012014082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#8
11.20.7
9.58.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
1747
#12
3.70.4
4.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3.60.7
4.43.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1098
#34
1.00.4
1.00.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#35
0.70.7
2.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
939
#43
-2.50.4
0.40.1
Auto
Teleop
End