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Red8
2928.7
13294.9
21339.1
Blue16
20141.5
13157.8
2179.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13170406080816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2133
#28
9.10.4
2.11.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
217
#25
9.60.0
9.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
292
#39
8.70.4
5.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1315
#38
7.80.0
4.14.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1329
#11
4.90.4
5.24.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2014
#14
1.50.0
2.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End