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Red27
8686.6
17233.6
162511.4
Blue4
17061.0
16020.3
8306.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225406080100120140274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#16
11.40.6
11.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
830
#29
6.60.3
2.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
#33
6.60.6
5.56.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1706
#40
1.00.3
2.82.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3.60.6
3.74.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1602
#31
0.30.3
1.71.4
Auto
Teleop
End