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Red8
20114.1
939-2.5
12088.0
Blue31
9674.1
125010.8
20141.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16170103040506070831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#24
8.00.7
10.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1250
#32
10.81.2
11.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2011
#26
4.10.7
6.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
967
#21
4.11.2
3.95.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
939
#43
-2.50.7
0.1-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
2014
#14
1.51.2
0.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End