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Red12
21672.8
9674.1
12885.1
Blue0
21775.5
10943.4
13157.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12220406080100120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
#15
5.10.1
5.25.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1315
#38
7.81.6
9.57.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
967
#21
4.10.1
5.25.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
5.51.8
6.95.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2167
#36
2.80.1
2.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1094
#13
3.41.6
4.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End