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Red16
136927.6
22653.3
17718.7
Blue79
159232.7
103816.3
4910.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31480204060801001201401679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1369
#22
27.60.8
21.420.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
32.71.7
16.117.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
177
#50
18.70.8
8.77.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1038
#64
16.31.7
20.422.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2265
#36
3.31.4
2.71.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
49
#38
10.31.7
9.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End