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Red8
12303.7
3927.8
154026.6
Blue14
113814.3
11116.2
19850.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7128050100150200814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39
#44
27.82.9
27.825.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
111
#15
16.20.9
18.017.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1540
#19
26.62.9
30.928.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
1138
#45
14.30.9
8.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1230
#61
3.73.8
6.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1985
#85
0.60.9
6.35.3
Auto
Teleop
End