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Red0
69614.6
1022.7
18563.7
Blue31
210811.9
10246.8
3480.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24300406080100120140031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#72
14.61.2
18.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
2108
#67
11.90.1
11.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1856
#69
3.71.2
2.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1024
#39
6.80.1
9.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
102
#53
2.71.2
3.62.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
348
#42
0.80.1
7.77.8
Auto
Teleop
End