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Red118
208319.2
8116.8
18115.2
Blue132
3343.8
136927.6
157427.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39490206080100120140160118132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#79
19.24.3
16.921.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
1369
#22
27.64.2
22.726.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
#24
15.23.9
16.019.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
27.44.2
24.128.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
811
#26
6.83.9
7.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
334
#80
3.84.7
1.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End